Zohran Mamdani Wins NYC Mayoral Race as Polymarket Traders Nail Another Prediction
Zohran Mamdani has been elected as New York City’s next mayor, marking a historic moment for the city and a notable win for crypto prediction markets that once again called the outcome with striking accuracy.
Key Takeaways:
Zohran Mamdani won the New York City mayoral race, becoming the city’s first Muslim mayor. Polymarket traders accurately predicted Mamdani’s victory, continuing their strong record in major political forecasts. Mamdani’s cautious stance on crypto signals tighter oversight and consumer protection for New York’s digital asset sector.According to unofficial results from the city’s Board of Elections, Mamdani secured just over 50% of the vote, defeating former Governor Andrew Cuomo, who captured around 40%.
The Associated Press officially called the race for Mamdani on Wednesday.
Polymarket Traders Score Again After Predicting Mamdani’s NYC Mayoral Win
Data from Polymarket, the blockchain-based prediction platform, showed that 92% of traders bet on a Mamdani victory before election day, including a $1 million position that pushed implied odds close to certainty.
The result adds to Polymarket’s growing track record after correctly forecasting both Donald Trump’s presidential victory last year and New York’s Democratic mayoral primary in June.
Mamdani, 34, a Ugandan-born, Queens-raised progressive and self-described democratic socialist, becomes New York’s first Muslim mayor.
His campaign centered on affordability, including tackling rent, childcare, and public service funding through higher taxes on the city’s wealthiest 1%.
While Mamdani’s victory represents a breakthrough for New York’s progressive movement, it also raises questions for the city’s crypto and fintech sectors.
Unlike previous mayors, including Eric Adams and Cuomo, who voiced open support for digital assets, Mamdani’s stance has been cautious.
As a member of the State Assembly, he co-sponsored Bill A7389C, seeking a moratorium on proof-of-work crypto mining using on-site power generation, citing environmental and community concerns.
“When crypto companies collapse, it isn’t the rich who suffer,” Mamdani said in 2023 after the Terra and FTX meltdowns. “It’s small investors from low-income and communities of color.”
The mayor-elect has consistently emphasized consumer protection and transparency over industry expansion.
His comments align with New York Attorney General Letitia James’ push for stronger oversight, including the proposed crypto transaction tax projected to generate over $150 million annually.
Crypto Titans Clash with Mamdani as Billionaires Fund Anti-Mayor Campaigns
Despite limited direct engagement with crypto issues during his campaign, Mamdani’s critical remarks toward the industry, and toward Cuomo’s advisory role for crypto exchange OKX, which later paid $500 million in penalties, drew backlash from prominent tech and finance figures.
Gemini’s Tyler Winklevoss and Sequoia’s Shaun Maguire were among those who criticized Mamdani, while billionaire Bill Ackman poured funds into anti-Mamdani PACs.
Mamdani brushed off their opposition with characteristic wit. “He’s spending more money against me than I would even tax him.”
As Mamdani prepares to take office on January 1, all eyes are on how his administration will navigate the balance between progressive policymaking and the city’s influential financial and crypto sectors.
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